PRIME TIME PICKS: Backing all three favourites on U.S. Thanksgiving Thursday

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LINE: Detroit by 7.5

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CHEWABLE: In the Week 4 meeting between these teams the Lions and their fifth ranked run attack rolled all over the Packers with 211 rushing yards – including 121 of them and three TDs from David Montgomery – en route to a 34-20 victory. Packers are 28th against the run, surrendering 134.7 yards per game, so it shouldn’t be a surprise if the script remains the same this time … The Lions run defence is also a solid fifth, while the Packers have the 21st best ground game and will likely be missing their top back, as Aaron Jones has a sprained MCL … Of course, Jones only had 18 yards on five carries in that first meeting, while Green Bay had a grand total of 27 rushing yards … Last Sunday the Lions trailed the Bears by 12 with three minutes left and still won 31-26. It was the first time in 16 such scenarios this season a team committed four-plus turnovers and won … Jordan Love is finding his groove. He has four TD passes in his last two games, including a pair and 322 passing yards in the Packers come-from-behind 23-20 home victory over the Chargers last Sunday. Detroit’s pass defence has slipped to 16th in the last few weeks, so Love could have another effective day … The Lions are off to their best start since 1962, when they improved to 9-2 with a 26-14 Thanksgiving Day victory over the Packers … Lions are 7-10 ATS as a Thanksgiving host since 2002 … If both Jones and CB Jaire Alexander were playing, I’d consider backing the visitors. But because it looks like neither will be activated, I like the Lions to build on their NFC North lead with a double digit victory that will mark their fifth consecutive W against the Packers.

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SCORE (O/U 47): Lions 31, Packers 20


LINE: Dallas by 12.5

CHEWABLE: This is what you need to be reminded about the Cowboys: They are 4-0 at home and have outscored their opponents 160-50, or an average of 27.5 points per game. What you need to be reminded about the Commanders was pointed out by the NFL on CBS Twitter (X) feed: Last week they became the first team to lose to a QB whose mom still makes his bed, cooks his chicken cutlets and gave him the same name as Joe Pesci’s character in Goodfellas … Just in: Dak Prescott, who hasn’t lost a divisional home game since 2017, is a lot better than Tommy DeVito, who was sacked nine times by the Commanders and still threw for 246 yards and three TDs to beat them 31-19  … CeeDee Lamb ONLY had six catches for 38 yards and a touchdown in last week’s 33-10 victory over the Panthers. That’s because he hurt his ankle, an injury that threatened his participation on Thanksgiving Thursday. But Lamb has been removed from the injury report and that’s bad news for the Commanders. In his four games before last week, Lamb averaged 154.3 receiving yards … Commanders have been burned with deep balls more than any other team in the NFL this season … Cowboys are tied for sixth in most sacks with 33 in 10 games. Sam Howell has been sacked a league-leading 51 times, with is 13 more than the next most sacked QB in the league, Zack Wilson, who was even sacked by how own team this week  … The Cowboys are also 7-3 ATS and have won 12 straight home games since a Week 1, 19-3 loss to Tampa last season …  This stat had me sitting on the fence longer than I should have been: The Commanders are 5-0 ATS as a visiting underdog. Also, their two losses to the Eagles, who are better than the Cowboys, have been by 10 points combined, or less than this spread. So back them against divisional rivals, right? Ah yes, but the Giants have beaten Washington twice by a combined 19 points. So back the Commanders only against the Eagles. Anyway, I’m now off the fence.

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SCORE (O/U over 48.5): Cowboys 37, Commanders 21

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LINE: San Francisco by 7.5 

CHEWABLE: What did you expect more before the season began, that by Thanksgiving Thursday the Lions would have the sixth shortest odds to win the Super Bowl or that the former Mr. Irrelevant would have the fifth shortest odds to be named MVP? Both have turned true, and there’s a good argument to be made for Brock Purdy to be viewed as the MVP favourite. Consider this: Purdy leads the NFL in completion percentage (70.2) and yards per attempt (9.7), and the only other QBs in NFL history to finish with a completion percentage of at least 70 percent while averaging at least nine yards per completion all won the MVP award that season: Joe Montana (1989), Tom Brady (2007) and Aaron Rodgers (2011) … Last week Purdy joinedMontana as the only QBs in Niners history to record a perfect passer rating (158.3) in a game (with a minimum of 15 throws), and what I like most was he later admitted he doesn’t even know how passer ratings are derived … Seahawks rank 21st against the pass and have allowed the fifth most receiving yards to running backs this season. Hello Christian McCaffrey … Kenneth Walker III (oblique) is doubtful, so the Seahawks bell-cow running back will be rookie Zach Chardonnet, who had his busiest workload as an NFLer last week when he replaced Walker and finished with 15 carries for 47 yards in a 17-16 loss to the Rams. Niners are a tough opponent for a running back to get his first start against. Only the Eagles and Bears have allowed given up fewer rushing yards per game that San Fran’s 81.4 … Even worse, Geno Smith is “questionable” on the final injury report. If he does play, it will be with a sore elbow that will surely hinder his passing ability. If he doesn’t play Drew Lock will be the Seahawks quarterback. Lock hasn’t started a game since Jan. 8, 2022 with the Broncos, and he has lost his last six … Seahawks have won 15 of the last 20 meetings but Niners have taken the last three, by an average of 15.3 points. This one they’ll win by less.


SCORE (O/U 43): Niners 30, Seahawks 15


LAST WEEK: 7-6-1

SEASON: 75–84-5




LAST WEEK: 7-6-1

SEASON: 68-91-5



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